Weber State
Big Sky · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#82
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#41
+5.2 pts · likely #22–67
Strength of schedule
25.4
#88 of 129
Strength of victory
35.8
#7
Record SOS
0.447
Opp. 37.8% · Opp. opp. 58.7%
Remaining SOS
39.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 43-16 | +3.3 | −1.7 | 0.310 | 2 | +25.3 |
| 3 | at Lamar | L 16-17 | −5.6 | +1.7 | 0.190 | 3 | −3.4 |
| 4 | at Northwestern State | W 39-0 | −17.7 | +1.7 | 0.045 | 4 | +16.9 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | L 26-28 | −1.1 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.568
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.511
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.205
- Wk 12: at Idaho · p 0.595
- Wk 13: vs Cal Poly · p 0.098
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at WashingtonFBS · L 3-35