Northwestern State
Southland · 0-5 vs FCS · 0-7 overall
Strength of record
#120
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#126
−19.8 pts · likely #114–128
Strength of schedule
32.6
#52 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.427
Opp. 45.3% · Opp. opp. 37.6%
Remaining SOS
29.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Prairie View A&M | L 31-37 | −12.1 | −1.7 | 0.061 | 4 | −19.2 |
| 4 | vs Weber State | L 0-39 | +4.2 | −1.7 | 0.331 | 2 | −31.4 |
| 5 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 0-19 | +15.3 | +1.7 | 0.706 | 1 | −5.1 |
| 6 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 17-59 | +5.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Nicholls State · p 0.333
- Wk 9: vs Lamar · p 0.162
- Wk 11: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.499
- Wk 12: vs McNeese · p 0.243
- Wk 13: at Houston Christian · p 0.224
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TulsaFBS · L 28-62
- Wk 3: at South AlabamaFBS · L 10-87