Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 6-0 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 8.9% of the time
Power
#13
+12.3 pts · likely #7–39
Strength of schedule
31.1
#57 of 129
Strength of victory
31.1
#9
Record SOS
0.497
Opp. 42.8% · Opp. opp. 63.6%
Remaining SOS
21.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 37-15 | +4.5 | 0.0 | 0.380 | 2 | +25.4 |
| 2 | vs UT Martin | W 45-42 OT | +11.8 | −1.7 | 0.531 | 1 | +13.0 |
| 4 | at Southern Illinois | W 38-21 | +4.9 | +1.7 | 0.433 | 2 | +21.5 |
| 5 | vs Northwestern State | W 19-0 | −22.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Charleston Southern · p 0.099
- Wk 9: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.162
- Wk 11: at Lindenwood · p 0.254
- Wk 12: vs Western Illinois · p 0.073
- Wk 13: at Tennessee State · p 0.245
- Wk 14: vs Illinois State · p 0.428
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New Mexico StateFBS · L 16-23