Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#37
+6.7 pts · likely #17–65
Strength of schedule
15.8
#123 of 129
Strength of victory
11.6
#54
Record SOS
0.446
Opp. 38.8% · Opp. opp. 56.3%
Remaining SOS
34.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at McNeese | L 24-28 | −1.1 | +1.7 | 0.284 | 2 | −3.2 |
| 4 | vs Northern Colorado | W 48-7 | −7.5 | −1.7 | 0.109 | 3 | +23.4 |
| 6 | vs Northwestern State | W 59-17 | −18.5 | −1.7 | 0.024 | 4 | +13.5 |
| 7 | at Lamar | W 27-20 | −4.3 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.499
- Wk 9: vs Houston Christian · p 0.163
- Wk 10: at Nicholls State · p 0.333
- Wk 11: at East Texas A&M · p 0.142
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.610
- Wk 13: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.345
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs North American UniversityNon-NCAA · W 77-0
- Wk 2: at North TexasFBS · L 20-35