Montana State
Big Sky · 6-0 vs FCS · 7-0 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#4
+21.4 pts · likely #2–13
Strength of schedule
21.6
#107 of 129
Strength of victory
21.6
#39
Record SOS
0.446
Opp. 34.2% · Opp. opp. 65.4%
Remaining SOS
57.2
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-7 | −15.6 | +1.7 | 0.060 | 4 | +11.6 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 41-24 | −0.6 | −1.7 | 0.223 | 3 | +15.8 |
| 4 | vs Mercyhurst | W 52-13 | −12.6 | −1.7 | 0.057 | 4 | +21.0 |
| 5 | at Idaho State | W 37-17 | −1.6 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.291
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.514
- Wk 11: vs Sacramento State · p 0.479
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.552
- Wk 13: vs Montana · p 0.592
- Wk 15: vs UT Martin · p 0.530
- Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.507
- Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.872
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.812
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31