North Dakota
MVFC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 29% of the time
Power
#12
+12.8 pts · likely #6–40
Strength of schedule
39.5
#28 of 129
Strength of victory
27.6
#20
Record SOS
0.624
Opp. 65.0% · Opp. opp. 57.2%
Remaining SOS
55.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Montana | W 27-24 | +14.3 | −1.7 | 0.599 | 1 | +15.1 |
| 3 | vs Idaho State | W 52-28 | −0.1 | −1.7 | 0.234 | 3 | +20.8 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 41-24 | −7.5 | −1.7 | 0.109 | 3 | +8.4 |
| 5 | vs Murray State | W 72-35 | −4.0 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.293
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.519
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.217
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.957
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.812
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.517
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 3-21