Murray State
MVFC · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#111
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#98
−7.0 pts · likely #68–113
Strength of schedule
37.8
#34 of 129
Strength of victory
1.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.499
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
65.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Butler | L 17-19 | +2.1 | −1.7 | 0.280 | 2 | −2.7 |
| 3 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-8 | −22.5 | −1.7 | 0.012 | 4 | +8.7 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 35-72 | +10.9 | +1.7 | 0.597 | 1 | −20.5 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota | L 0-59 | +22.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Illinois State · p 0.428
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota State · p 0.847
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.974
- Wk 11: vs Missouri State · p 0.644
- Wk 13: at Southern Illinois · p 0.395
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 0-51