Butler
Pioneer · 2-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#58
+1.0 pts · likely #31–94
Strength of schedule
16.7
#120 of 129
Strength of victory
10.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
6.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Murray State | W 19-17 | −7.2 | +1.7 | 0.162 | 3 | −3.4 |
| 6 | vs Morehead State | W 40-6 | −13.0 | −1.7 | 0.054 | 4 | +16.8 |
| 7 | at Drake | L 17-27 | −1.1 | +1.7 | 0.284 | 2 | −8.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Dayton · p 0.129
- Wk 9: at Davidson · p 0.141
- Wk 10: vs Stetson · p 0.011
- Wk 11: at Valparaiso · p 0.030
- Wk 12: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.052
- Wk 13: at Presbyterian · p 0.047
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Upper IowaDII · W 40-7
- Wk 3: vs HanoverDIII · W 53-0
- Wk 5: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 63-0