Morehead State
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#119
−15.6 pts · likely #102–125
Strength of schedule
29.0
#69 of 129
Strength of victory
2.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.403
Opp. 36.7% · Opp. opp. 47.7%
Remaining SOS
16.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Montana | L 2-59 | +13.6 | +1.7 | 0.664 | 1 | −19.5 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 13-42 | +7.2 | +1.7 | 0.496 | 2 | −19.9 |
| 5 | vs Valparaiso | W 17-5 | −19.0 | −1.7 | 0.022 | 4 | −9.4 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 6-40 | −3.2 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Dayton · p 0.182
- Wk 10: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.052
- Wk 11: at Davidson · p 0.141
- Wk 12: at Drake · p 0.323
- Wk 13: vs San Diego · p 0.122
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 17-10
- Wk 2: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 48-7