San Diego
Pioneer · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#97
−6.9 pts · likely #63–114
Strength of schedule
29.0
#68 of 129
Strength of victory
6.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.482
Opp. 45.8% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
7.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cal Poly | W 27-21 | −7.9 | −1.7 | 0.104 | 3 | −4.4 |
| 4 | at North Dakota | L 24-41 | +14.2 | +1.7 | 0.680 | 1 | −2.5 |
| 5 | at Drake | L 28-30 | +1.9 | +1.7 | 0.355 | 2 | −0.0 |
| 6 | vs Presbyterian | W 27-21 OT | −19.1 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Marist · p 0.008
- Wk 9: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.081
- Wk 10: vs Davidson · p 0.097
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.182
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.011
- Wk 13: at Morehead State · p 0.058
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 26-7