Missouri State
MVFC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 16% of the time
Power
#6
+16.3 pts · likely #4–26
Strength of schedule
50.3
#5 of 129
Strength of victory
46.5
#2
Record SOS
0.634
Opp. 64.3% · Opp. opp. 61.5%
Remaining SOS
47.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 24-29 | +13.3 | +1.7 | 0.657 | 1 | +10.5 |
| 3 | vs Lindenwood | W 28-14 | −3.4 | −1.7 | 0.170 | 3 | +9.5 |
| 4 | at UT Martin | W 31-24 | +12.6 | +1.7 | 0.639 | 1 | +20.4 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 38-31 | +7.6 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Indiana State · p 0.157
- Wk 9: at Northern Iowa · p 0.374
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.312
- Wk 11: at Murray State · p 0.174
- Wk 12: at North Dakota State · p 0.894
- Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.957
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 34-42