VMI
Southern · 1-7 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#117
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#118
−12.4 pts · likely #94–122
Strength of schedule
29.7
#66 of 129
Strength of victory
14.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.422
Opp. 41.0% · Opp. opp. 44.6%
Remaining SOS
50.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against VMI. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at William & Mary | L 7-41 | +7.3 | +2.5 | 0.521 | 1 | −23.6 |
| 2 | vs Bucknell | L 28-35 | −5.3 | −2.5 | 0.128 | 3 | −14.5 |
| 4 | vs Norfolk State | L 10-32 | −9.2 | −2.5 | 0.080 | 4 | −31.2 |
| 6 | at Samford | L 3-27 | +1.5 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Mercer · p 0.534
- Wk 12: at Western Carolina · p 0.537
- Wk 13: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.445
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia TechFBS · L 7-59