Chattanooga
Southern · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#9
+13.1 pts · likely #6–34
Strength of schedule
34.2
#46 of 129
Strength of victory
27.5
#33
Record SOS
0.508
Opp. 49.8% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
29.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Mercer | L 3-10 | +11.7 | −2.5 | 0.506 | 1 | +2.2 |
| 5 | vs Portland State | W 45-30 | +2.5 | −2.5 | 0.270 | 2 | +15.5 |
| 6 | at East Tennessee State | W 17-10 | +10.2 | +2.5 | 0.598 | 1 | +17.6 |
| 7 | at Furman | W 41-10 | −3.6 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at The Citadel · p 0.212
- Wk 12: vs Samford · p 0.267
- Wk 13: at Austin Peay · p 0.404
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TennesseeFBS · L 3-69
- Wk 2: at Georgia StateFBS · L 21-24