Mercer
Southern · 8-1 vs FCS · 8-1 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#13
+11.8 pts · likely #7–36
Strength of schedule
29.2
#70 of 129
Strength of victory
29.1
#25
Record SOS
0.509
Opp. 49.9% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
39.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-10 | −10.0 | −2.5 | 0.072 | 4 | +22.4 |
| 2 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 31-2 | −12.8 | +2.5 | 0.095 | 4 | +18.9 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | W 10-3 | +14.6 | +2.5 | 0.709 | 1 | +22.7 |
| 4 | vs The Citadel | W 38-21 | −5.7 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.087
- Wk 13: vs Furman · p 0.124
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.455
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.913