The Citadel
Southern · 3-5 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#87
−5.4 pts · likely #66–109
Strength of schedule
32.7
#53 of 129
Strength of victory
18.8
#63
Record SOS
0.467
Opp. 46.0% · Opp. opp. 48.0%
Remaining SOS
42.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 22-21 | −9.0 | +2.5 | 0.146 | 3 | −5.3 |
| 2 | vs South Carolina State | L 20-23 | +3.3 | −2.5 | 0.291 | 2 | −2.9 |
| 4 | at Mercer | L 21-38 | +13.1 | +2.5 | 0.673 | 1 | −2.6 |
| 5 | vs East Tennessee State | L 17-34 | +8.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Chattanooga · p 0.549
- Wk 12: at Wofford · p 0.298
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs North GreenvilleDII · W 54-0