East Tennessee State
Southern · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#27
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#27
+8.0 pts · likely #12–57
Strength of schedule
48.1
#11 of 129
Strength of victory
32.8
#18
Record SOS
0.593
Opp. 62.8% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
20.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs North Dakota State | L 35-38 | +27.8 | −2.5 | 0.866 | 1 | +20.3 |
| 4 | at Elon | W 34-14 | +7.2 | +2.5 | 0.520 | 1 | +27.6 |
| 5 | at The Citadel | W 34-17 | −4.7 | +2.5 | 0.224 | 3 | +14.2 |
| 6 | vs Chattanooga | L 10-17 | +12.5 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.403
- Wk 12: vs Furman · p 0.124
- Wk 13: at VMI · p 0.087
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at App StateFBS · L 10-38
- Wk 2: vs UVA WiseDII · W 61-0