North Dakota State
MVFC · 9-0 vs FCS · 9-1 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 0.1% of the time
Power
#2
+25.9 pts · likely #1–4
Strength of schedule
43.3
#19 of 129
Strength of victory
43.3
#2
Record SOS
0.598
Opp. 59.1% · Opp. opp. 61.0%
Remaining SOS
69.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
4-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Tennessee State | W 52-3 | −0.5 | −2.5 | 0.207 | 3 | +31.7 |
| 3 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-35 | +7.8 | +2.5 | 0.535 | 1 | +13.6 |
| 4 | vs Towson | W 41-24 | +2.7 | −2.5 | 0.275 | 2 | +17.7 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 42-10 | +9.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Missouri State · p 0.630
- Wk 13: at South Dakota · p 0.873
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.370
- Wk 16: vs Mercer · p 0.534
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota State · p 0.916
- Wk 17: vs (N) Montana State · p 0.836
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ColoradoFBS · L 26-31