South Dakota State
MVFC · 6-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 2.7% of the time
Power
#1
+30.8 pts · likely #1–2
Strength of schedule
52.0
#6 of 129
Strength of victory
45.6
#1
Record SOS
0.626
Opp. 63.4% · Opp. opp. 61.0%
Remaining SOS
62.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Incarnate Word | W 45-24 | +13.5 | −2.5 | 0.554 | 1 | +31.5 |
| 4 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 41-0 | +7.0 | +2.5 | 0.515 | 1 | +42.9 |
| 6 | at Northern Iowa | W 41-3 | +2.7 | +2.5 | 0.399 | 2 | +39.5 |
| 7 | vs Youngstown State | W 63-13 | +7.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at North Dakota · p 0.658
- Wk 12: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.253
- Wk 13: at Missouri State · p 0.749
- Wk 15: vs Montana · p 0.621
- Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.554
- Wk 17: at North Dakota State · p 0.913
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 20-44
- Wk 3: vs Augustana University (SD)DII · W 24-3