Incarnate Word
Southland · 7-2 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 36% of the time
Power
#8
+13.1 pts · likely #6–31
Strength of schedule
33.1
#52 of 129
Strength of victory
24.3
#45
Record SOS
0.543
Opp. 52.9% · Opp. opp. 56.9%
Remaining SOS
46.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −11.0 | −2.5 | 0.064 | 4 | +7.8 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 24-45 | +31.7 | +2.5 | 0.957 | 1 | +12.4 |
| 3 | at Southern Illinois | L 28-35 | −0.3 | +2.5 | 0.321 | 2 | −3.1 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 38-14 | +11.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Lamar · p 0.183
- Wk 12: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.605
- Wk 13: at East Texas A&M · p 0.100
- Wk 15: vs Villanova · p 0.480
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.957