Nicholls State
Southland · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#69
−0.5 pts · likely #45–92
Strength of schedule
28.0
#75 of 129
Strength of victory
12.9
#76
Record SOS
0.436
Opp. 42.1% · Opp. opp. 46.7%
Remaining SOS
27.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Sacramento State | L 7-34 | +1.5 | +2.5 | 0.366 | 2 | −21.5 |
| 4 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 66-0 | −23.2 | −2.5 | 0.009 | 4 | +9.1 |
| 6 | at Southern | W 51-7 | −4.0 | +2.5 | 0.238 | 3 | +30.8 |
| 7 | at Incarnate Word | L 10-55 | +11.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Houston Christian · p 0.181
- Wk 12: at Lamar · p 0.286
- Wk 13: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.346
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Louisiana TechFBS · L 17-25
- Wk 2: at LSUFBS · L 21-44