Southern
SWAC · 4-4 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#97
−6.8 pts · likely #71–113
Strength of schedule
26.4
#83 of 129
Strength of victory
15.6
#72
Record SOS
0.531
Opp. 55.7% · Opp. opp. 48.1%
Remaining SOS
18.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | L 7-21 | +1.3 | +2.5 | 0.361 | 2 | −11.0 |
| 3 | at Jackson State | L 15-33 | +6.4 | +2.5 | 0.497 | 2 | −7.9 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | W 31-24 OT | −12.8 | +2.5 | 0.095 | 4 | −6.5 |
| 6 | vs Nicholls State | L 7-51 | −4.6 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.044
- Wk 12: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.024
- Wk 14: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.162
- Wk 15: at Jackson State · p 0.501
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Savannah StateDII · W 42-10