Southern Illinois
MVFC · 2-6 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#60
+1.3 pts · likely #35–82
Strength of schedule
56.4
#2 of 129
Strength of victory
53.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.680
Opp. 78.1% · Opp. opp. 47.8%
Remaining SOS
48.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | W 31-17 | +5.2 | +2.5 | 0.465 | 2 | +20.6 |
| 3 | vs Incarnate Word | W 35-28 | +15.3 | −2.5 | 0.603 | 1 | +17.5 |
| 4 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 21-38 | +9.2 | −2.5 | 0.440 | 2 | −9.9 |
| 5 | at South Dakota | L 13-42 | +22.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Youngstown State · p 0.378
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.957
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.115
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BYUFBS · L 13-41