Missouri State
MVFC · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 6.5% of the time
Power
#5
+16.2 pts · likely #4–21
Strength of schedule
41.5
#23 of 129
Strength of victory
36.9
#8
Record SOS
0.572
Opp. 56.3% · Opp. opp. 58.8%
Remaining SOS
67.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 24-29 | +15.7 | +2.5 | 0.734 | 1 | +13.7 |
| 3 | vs Lindenwood | W 28-14 | −6.1 | −2.5 | 0.116 | 3 | +5.3 |
| 4 | at UT Martin | W 31-24 | +13.9 | +2.5 | 0.693 | 1 | +22.6 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 38-31 | +6.3 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Murray State · p 0.195
- Wk 12: at North Dakota State · p 0.913
- Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.916
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 34-42