UT Martin
OVC · 5-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#10
+13.0 pts · likely #6–33
Strength of schedule
32.5
#56 of 129
Strength of victory
21.2
#53
Record SOS
0.572
Opp. 60.2% · Opp. opp. 51.1%
Remaining SOS
39.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UT Martin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 42-45 OT | +10.2 | +2.5 | 0.600 | 1 | +9.3 |
| 3 | vs North Alabama | W 43-28 | +2.1 | −2.5 | 0.262 | 2 | +14.3 |
| 4 | vs Missouri State | L 24-31 | +15.6 | −2.5 | 0.611 | 1 | +6.6 |
| 6 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 35-17 | −1.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Charleston Southern · p 0.146
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.243
- Wk 13: vs Lindenwood · p 0.132
- Wk 14: at New Hampshire · p 0.591
- Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.874
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 6-41
- Wk 5: at Kennesaw StateFBS · W 24-13