Eastern Illinois
OVC · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#102
−7.7 pts · likely #76–115
Strength of schedule
33.2
#51 of 129
Strength of victory
14.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.570
Opp. 62.2% · Opp. opp. 46.7%
Remaining SOS
24.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Indiana State | W 27-20 | −1.7 | −2.5 | 0.185 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 4 | at Illinois State | L 7-31 | +7.1 | +2.5 | 0.516 | 1 | −13.9 |
| 5 | vs Lindenwood | L 25-28 | −5.3 | −2.5 | 0.127 | 3 | −11.7 |
| 6 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 27-38 | +11.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.295
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.082
- Wk 13: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.360
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 0-45
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-31