Indiana State
MVFC · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#63
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#77
−2.7 pts · likely #54–100
Strength of schedule
31.8
#59 of 129
Strength of victory
26.1
#38
Record SOS
0.478
Opp. 41.0% · Opp. opp. 61.2%
Remaining SOS
54.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Eastern Illinois | L 20-27 | −8.9 | +2.5 | 0.148 | 3 | −12.1 |
| 3 | vs Dayton | W 24-13 | −8.9 | −2.5 | 0.084 | 4 | −1.2 |
| 5 | vs Houston Christian | L 24-27 | −8.5 | −2.5 | 0.088 | 4 | −13.3 |
| 6 | at Youngstown State | L 14-21 | +7.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.873
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.402
- Wk 13: at Northern Iowa · p 0.373
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at PurdueFBS · L 0-49