Murray State
MVFC · 1-7 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#114
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#93
−6.5 pts · likely #72–112
Strength of schedule
50.9
#7 of 129
Strength of victory
1.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.577
Opp. 61.8% · Opp. opp. 49.3%
Remaining SOS
50.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Butler | L 17-19 | −0.6 | −2.5 | 0.205 | 3 | −5.3 |
| 3 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-8 | −22.5 | −2.5 | 0.011 | 4 | +9.1 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 35-72 | +10.8 | +2.5 | 0.616 | 1 | −20.8 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota | L 0-59 | +22.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Missouri State · p 0.630
- Wk 13: at Southern Illinois · p 0.371
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 0-51