Butler
Pioneer · 4-2 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#76
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#71
−0.7 pts · likely #43–94
Strength of schedule
11.8
#127 of 129
Strength of victory
9.8
#82
Record SOS
0.447
Opp. 44.0% · Opp. opp. 46.0%
Remaining SOS
7.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Murray State | W 19-17 | −6.3 | +2.5 | 0.192 | 3 | −1.9 |
| 6 | vs Morehead State | W 40-6 | −8.8 | −2.5 | 0.084 | 4 | +21.1 |
| 7 | at Drake | L 17-27 | −3.0 | +2.5 | 0.259 | 2 | −9.5 |
| 8 | vs Dayton | L 14-21 | −11.5 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Valparaiso · p 0.024
- Wk 12: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.071
- Wk 13: at Presbyterian · p 0.115
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Upper IowaDII · W 40-7
- Wk 3: vs HanoverDIII · W 53-0
- Wk 5: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 63-0