Morehead State
Pioneer · 4-3 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#113
−10.3 pts · likely #87–120
Strength of schedule
25.7
#88 of 129
Strength of victory
8.4
#85
Record SOS
0.511
Opp. 54.8% · Opp. opp. 43.7%
Remaining SOS
17.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Montana | L 2-59 | +15.5 | +2.5 | 0.729 | 1 | −16.3 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 13-42 | +6.2 | +2.5 | 0.493 | 2 | −19.4 |
| 5 | vs Valparaiso | W 17-5 | −22.9 | −2.5 | 0.010 | 4 | −12.3 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 6-40 | −4.0 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Davidson · p 0.108
- Wk 12: at Drake · p 0.285
- Wk 13: vs San Diego · p 0.123
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 17-10
- Wk 2: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 48-7