St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#99
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#108
−8.9 pts · likely #80–118
Strength of schedule
10.4
#129 of 129
Strength of victory
5.5
#89
Record SOS
0.345
Opp. 27.3% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
19.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Northern Iowa | L 10-17 | +2.1 | −2.5 | 0.261 | 2 | −7.7 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 0-64 | −8.1 | +2.5 | 0.160 | 3 | −38.5 |
| 6 | vs Stetson | W 34-24 | −28.5 | −2.5 | 0.003 | 4 | −18.9 |
| 7 | at Marist | W 39-32 | −27.0 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Drake · p 0.182
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.310
- Wk 13: vs Dayton · p 0.080
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Sioux FallsDII · L 13-34
- Wk 3: vs Black Hills StateDII · W 24-14