San Diego
Pioneer · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#88
−5.5 pts · likely #64–110
Strength of schedule
18.7
#115 of 129
Strength of victory
6.2
#88
Record SOS
0.422
Opp. 41.3% · Opp. opp. 44.1%
Remaining SOS
8.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cal Poly | W 27-21 | −6.9 | −2.5 | 0.106 | 3 | −4.4 |
| 4 | at North Dakota | L 24-41 | +12.9 | +2.5 | 0.668 | 1 | −2.8 |
| 5 | at Drake | L 28-30 | −1.3 | +2.5 | 0.298 | 2 | −1.5 |
| 6 | vs Presbyterian | W 27-21 OT | −11.7 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.144
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.004
- Wk 13: at Morehead State · p 0.110
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 26-7