Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#97
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#104
−7.8 pts · likely #75–117
Strength of schedule
40.5
#26 of 129
Strength of victory
16.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.546
Opp. 56.5% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
40.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at San Diego | L 21-27 | −5.9 | +2.5 | 0.200 | 3 | −8.9 |
| 5 | at Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −7.9 | +2.5 | 0.163 | 3 | +13.0 |
| 6 | vs Idaho State | L 38-41 | +1.1 | −2.5 | 0.241 | 3 | −5.2 |
| 7 | at UC Davis | L 10-56 | +10.2 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.436
- Wk 12: vs Sacramento State · p 0.311
- Wk 13: at Weber State · p 0.453
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at StanfordFBS · L 7-41
- Wk 3: vs Western OregonDII · W 31-14