UC Davis
Big Sky · 8-0 vs FCS · 8-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 5.1% of the time
Power
#11
+12.2 pts · likely #6–35
Strength of schedule
27.9
#77 of 129
Strength of victory
27.9
#30
Record SOS
0.429
Opp. 32.9% · Opp. opp. 63.1%
Remaining SOS
64.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 36-22 | −13.9 | −2.5 | 0.042 | 4 | −1.4 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 24-21 | +10.0 | +2.5 | 0.595 | 1 | +15.5 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 32-14 | −9.1 | −2.5 | 0.081 | 4 | +7.8 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 28-26 | +9.8 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Montana · p 0.741
- Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.791
- Wk 13: at Sacramento State · p 0.438
- Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.402
- Wk 16: at South Dakota · p 0.873
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-31