Southern Utah
UAC · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#21
+9.9 pts · likely #9–47
Strength of schedule
41.5
#22 of 129
Strength of victory
38.0
#6
Record SOS
0.580
Opp. 63.9% · Opp. opp. 46.0%
Remaining SOS
29.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs UC Davis | L 21-24 | +11.4 | −2.5 | 0.497 | 2 | +6.6 |
| 4 | at Idaho State | L 28-38 | −1.5 | +2.5 | 0.294 | 2 | −7.0 |
| 5 | at Austin Peay | W 28-17 | +3.7 | +2.5 | 0.426 | 2 | +17.6 |
| 6 | vs Tarleton State | L 37-38 OT | +10.8 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs North Alabama · p 0.259
- Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.552
- Wk 13: vs Utah Tech · p 0.087
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UtahFBS · L 0-49
- Wk 2: at UTEPFBS · W 27-24