Tarleton State
UAC · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 19% of the time
Power
#15
+11.1 pts · likely #8–40
Strength of schedule
32.6
#54 of 129
Strength of victory
32.2
#21
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 49.7% · Opp. opp. 58.9%
Remaining SOS
42.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 26-23 | +0.5 | −2.5 | 0.228 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 2 | at Houston Christian | W 35-18 | −6.7 | +2.5 | 0.185 | 3 | +12.0 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | W 28-14 | +2.7 | +2.5 | 0.399 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 5 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | W 36-33 | +5.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at West Georgia · p 0.266
- Wk 12: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.370
- Wk 13: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.418
- Wk 14: vs Drake · p 0.182
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.873
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BaylorFBS · L 3-45