Drake
Pioneer · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 36% of the time
Power
#75
−2.1 pts · likely #52–100
Strength of schedule
26.5
#82 of 129
Strength of victory
16.6
#69
Record SOS
0.451
Opp. 43.4% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
20.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Eastern Washington | W 35-32 OT | +6.9 | +2.5 | 0.511 | 1 | +10.4 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | L 3-42 | +22.1 | +2.5 | 0.855 | 1 | −10.1 |
| 5 | vs San Diego | W 30-28 | −6.2 | −2.5 | 0.115 | 3 | −6.1 |
| 6 | at Valparaiso | W 27-3 | −21.8 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.129
- Wk 12: vs Morehead State · p 0.059
- Wk 13: at Stetson · p 0.011
- Wk 14: at Tarleton State · p 0.622