Davidson
Pioneer · 3-4 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#115
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#116
−11.2 pts · likely #91–121
Strength of schedule
10.5
#128 of 129
Strength of victory
2.7
#91
Record SOS
0.373
Opp. 34.1% · Opp. opp. 43.6%
Remaining SOS
4.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-4
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Davidson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Georgetown | L 24-46 | −9.1 | +2.5 | 0.144 | 3 | −27.1 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 48-37 | −10.1 | −2.5 | 0.071 | 4 | −1.6 |
| 6 | vs Marist | W 42-19 | −25.7 | −2.5 | 0.006 | 4 | −4.9 |
| 7 | at Dayton | L 14-16 | −8.8 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Morehead State · p 0.059
- Wk 13: at Valparaiso · p 0.024
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs CatawbaDII · W 49-14
- Wk 3: vs Point UniversityNon-NCAA · W 42-12