Tennessee State
OVC · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 83% of the time
Power
#70
−0.7 pts · likely #43–92
Strength of schedule
28.0
#76 of 129
Strength of victory
11.8
#78
Record SOS
0.461
Opp. 44.0% · Opp. opp. 50.3%
Remaining SOS
42.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-21 | −24.8 | −2.5 | 0.007 | 4 | −5.9 |
| 2 | at North Dakota State | L 3-52 | +25.9 | +2.5 | 0.906 | 1 | −6.5 |
| 3 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-28 | −18.0 | 0.0 | 0.033 | 4 | −4.2 |
| 4 | at Tennessee Tech | L 14-24 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.171
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.295
- Wk 13: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.475
- Wk 14: at Montana · p 0.741