William & Mary
CAA · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 73% of the time
Power
#30
+7.8 pts · likely #14–56
Strength of schedule
23.1
#102 of 129
Strength of victory
17.6
#65
Record SOS
0.447
Opp. 40.8% · Opp. opp. 52.5%
Remaining SOS
33.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Elon · p 0.331
- Wk 12: vs Bryant · p 0.100
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.567
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 21-40