Bucknell
Patriot · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#83
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#84
−4.9 pts · likely #66–107
Strength of schedule
22.5
#105 of 129
Strength of victory
20.6
#56
Record SOS
0.419
Opp. 40.2% · Opp. opp. 45.3%
Remaining SOS
25.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Fordham · p 0.094
- Wk 12: at Holy Cross · p 0.580
- Wk 13: vs Colgate · p 0.103
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NavyFBS · L 21-49