Norfolk State
MEAC · 2-6 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#107
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#94
−6.6 pts · likely #71–113
Strength of schedule
26.3
#85 of 129
Strength of victory
12.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.445
Opp. 43.2% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
21.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Norfolk State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Florida A&M | L 23-24 | +8.4 | 0.0 | 0.485 | 2 | +6.5 |
| 3 | vs Hampton | L 7-37 | +1.0 | −2.5 | 0.239 | 3 | −28.8 |
| 4 | at VMI | W 32-10 | −11.2 | +2.5 | 0.114 | 3 | +12.2 |
| 5 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 10-37 | +6.2 | 0.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Delaware State · p 0.019
- Wk 13: at South Carolina State · p 0.404
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at East CarolinaFBS · L 3-42
- Wk 2: vs Virginia StateDII · W 28-23