Morgan State
MEAC · 2-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#80
−3.2 pts · likely #55–103
Strength of schedule
37.4
#36 of 129
Strength of victory
27.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.533
Opp. 55.2% · Opp. opp. 49.6%
Remaining SOS
15.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Hampton | W 30-28 | +4.9 | +2.5 | 0.458 | 2 | +8.4 |
| 2 | at Towson | L 9-14 | +4.2 | +2.5 | 0.437 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | L 3-22 | +4.2 | +2.5 | 0.439 | 2 | −11.5 |
| 7 | vs Merrimack | L 24-32 | +1.9 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Delaware State · p 0.040
- Wk 12: vs South Carolina State · p 0.281
- Wk 13: vs Howard · p 0.129
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at OhioFBS · L 6-21
- Wk 4: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 56-7
- Wk 6: vs Lincoln (PA)DII · W 41-0