Southern Illinois
MVFC · 5-4 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 52% of the time
Power
#29
+8.7 pts · likely #12–52
Strength of schedule
49.3
#3 of 128
Strength of victory
33.6
#17
Record SOS
0.589
Opp. 60.6% · Opp. opp. 55.4%
Remaining SOS
37.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-23 | +14.0 | −2.7 | 0.564 | 1 | +34.3 |
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 26-25 | +6.3 | +2.7 | 0.499 | 2 | +8.9 |
| 5 | vs Missouri State | W 33-20 | +7.3 | −2.7 | 0.383 | 2 | +16.2 |
| 6 | at Youngstown State | L 3-31 | +8.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.111
- Wk 13: vs Nicholls State · p 0.335
- Wk 14: at Idaho · p 0.692
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Northern IllinoisFBS · W 14-11