Austin Peay
UAC · 8-1 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 11% of the time
Power
#15
+11.0 pts · likely #7–42
Strength of schedule
33.5
#53 of 128
Strength of victory
31.0
#22
Record SOS
0.485
Opp. 43.8% · Opp. opp. 57.9%
Remaining SOS
44.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Southern Illinois | L 23-49 | +7.8 | +2.7 | 0.541 | 1 | −14.6 |
| 3 | vs East Tennessee State | W 63-3 | −5.8 | −2.7 | 0.118 | 3 | +25.4 |
| 4 | at Stephen F. Austin | W 22-20 | +1.2 | +2.7 | 0.366 | 2 | +4.5 |
| 5 | at Lindenwood | W 52-10 | −13.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.467
- Wk 13: vs Chattanooga · p 0.417
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TennesseeFBS · L 13-30