Missouri State
MVFC · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#42
+5.9 pts · likely #21–63
Strength of schedule
41.3
#24 of 128
Strength of victory
20.1
#61
Record SOS
0.509
Opp. 50.1% · Opp. opp. 52.5%
Remaining SOS
95.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at UT Martin | L 31-38 | +10.4 | +2.7 | 0.611 | 1 | +5.6 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 59-14 | −1.4 | −2.7 | 0.188 | 3 | +28.3 |
| 5 | at Southern Illinois | L 20-33 | +9.9 | +2.7 | 0.596 | 1 | −1.6 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota State | L 10-38 | +17.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.956
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KansasFBS · L 17-48