North Dakota State
MVFC · 7-3 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#4
+17.5 pts · likely #3–16
Strength of schedule
41.4
#22 of 128
Strength of victory
31.0
#21
Record SOS
0.557
Opp. 55.2% · Opp. opp. 56.7%
Remaining SOS
59.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Eastern Washington | W 35-10 | +3.3 | 0.0 | 0.351 | 2 | +26.6 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 44-7 | −3.8 | −2.7 | 0.147 | 3 | +27.6 |
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | W 49-31 | +11.3 | −2.7 | 0.491 | 2 | +24.5 |
| 5 | vs South Dakota | L 19-24 | +10.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Northern Iowa · p 0.569
- Wk 13: vs Drake · p 0.130
- Wk 14: at Montana State · p 0.873
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.652
- Wk 16: at Montana · p 0.745