Murray State
MVFC · 2-6 vs FCS · 2-8 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#105
−9.6 pts · likely #82–117
Strength of schedule
45.4
#8 of 128
Strength of victory
7.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.505
Opp. 49.9% · Opp. opp. 51.8%
Remaining SOS
49.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 41-10 | −16.4 | −2.7 | 0.028 | 4 | +10.6 |
| 5 | vs Indiana State | W 30-28 | −6.2 | −2.7 | 0.113 | 3 | −6.8 |
| 6 | at South Dakota | L 7-38 | +11.2 | +2.7 | 0.631 | 1 | −18.0 |
| 7 | vs Southern Illinois | L 6-27 | +10.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Youngstown State · p 0.492
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at LouisvilleFBS · L 0-56
- Wk 3: at Middle TennesseeFBS · L 14-35