Northern Iowa
MVFC · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 41% of the time
Power
#30
+8.5 pts · likely #12–52
Strength of schedule
42.4
#17 of 128
Strength of victory
36.2
#8
Record SOS
0.517
Opp. 50.5% · Opp. opp. 54.1%
Remaining SOS
68.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Weber State | L 17-34 | +1.5 | −2.7 | 0.245 | 3 | −15.0 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 41-17 | −2.5 | +2.7 | 0.275 | 2 | +21.8 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 44-41 | +11.6 | −2.7 | 0.500 | 2 | +10.4 |
| 6 | at Indiana State | W 27-20 | −7.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota State · p 0.686
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 9-30