Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#69
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#44
+5.2 pts · likely #23–64
Strength of schedule
35.2
#44 of 128
Strength of victory
24.4
#51
Record SOS
0.554
Opp. 57.1% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
43.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Lindenwood | W 45-7 | −13.1 | −2.7 | 0.046 | 4 | +18.1 |
| 3 | vs Southern Illinois | L 25-26 | +10.6 | −2.7 | 0.472 | 2 | +4.9 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 38-41 | +6.4 | +2.7 | 0.503 | 1 | +5.7 |
| 6 | at Central Arkansas | L 33-38 | +10.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Bryant · p 0.436
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 0-45