Eastern Illinois
OVC · 7-2 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 56% of the time
Power
#63
+0.7 pts · likely #40–82
Strength of schedule
26.4
#86 of 128
Strength of victory
19.9
#63
Record SOS
0.437
Opp. 40.5% · Opp. opp. 50.1%
Remaining SOS
11.5
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Indiana State | W 27-0 | −3.6 | +2.7 | 0.250 | 2 | +23.7 |
| 3 | vs Illinois State | W 14-13 | +10.9 | −2.7 | 0.478 | 2 | +8.1 |
| 4 | vs McNeese | W 31-28 | −14.6 | −2.7 | 0.037 | 4 | −12.1 |
| 5 | at Northwestern State | W 19-10 | −16.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Robert Morris · p 0.115
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Bowling GreenFBS · L 15-38